Oscar nominations: my reactions

So the Oscar nominations were announced and they were...alright. Silence's snubs were obviously enraging, but I can't say it's terribly surprising which makes it easier to stomach. Besides that...well there have been worse years.

Best Supporting Actress

Viola Davis- Fences

Naomie Harris- Moonlight

Nicole Kidman- Lion


Octavia Spencer- Hidden Figures

Michelle Williams- Manchester by the Sea

Predictions correct: 5/5

Snubs and Surprises: None. This was predictable.

Best Supporting Actor

Mahershala Ali- Moonlight

Jeff Bridges- Hell or High Water

Lucas Hedges- Manchester by the Sea

Dev Patel- Lion


Michael Shannon- Nocturnal Animals

Predictions correct: 3/5

Snubs and Surprises: Wow, poor Hugh Grant. Sure did seem like he campaigned hard for a nomination. Meanwhile Aaron Taylor Johnson is the first person in over 40 years to win the Golden Globe for Best Supporting Actor and not even be nominated for the Oscar.  I wasn't predicting Hedges but he was always a contender. The real surprise is Michael Shannon. Following Revolutionary Road, this is his second nomination. Both films had him as surprise nominees with little precursor support who ultimately got in over a co-star who was viewed as more of a contender and won a Golden Globe for their work. I guess the message is don't underestimate Michael Shannon.

Best Actor

Casey Affleck- Manchester By The Sea

Andrew Garfield- Hacksaw Ridge.

Ryan Gosling- La La Land

Viggo Mortensen- Captain Fantastic

Denzel Washington- Fences

Predictions Correct: 5/5

Snubs and Surprises: None. Joel Edgerton was the only other noteworthy contender, but I figured his hype had died down enough that these 5 were pretty safe bets. I personally think Andrew Garfield was better in Silence than Hacksaw Ridge, but he's been a likely contender in Hacksaw Ridge for awhile now.

Best Actress

Isabelle Huppert- Elle

Ruth Negga- Loving

Natalie Portman- Jackie

Emma Stone- La La Land

Meryl Streep- Florence Foster Jenkins

Predictions Correct: 4/5

Snubs and Surprises: Amy Adams for Arrival seemed pretty safe and indeed the Academy did take to the film, as it scored a Best Picture, Best Director, and Best Adapted Screenplay nomination. Genuinely shocking that a film so loved by the Academy would leave out the performance that drove the film. I didn't even have Ruth Negga as a possible spoiler for my predictions. The Best Actress category just seemed too crowded for her to squeeze in, but it is a deserved nomination so congratulations.

Best Picture

Arrival

Fences

Hacksaw Ridge

Hell or High Water

Hidden Figures

La La Land

Lion

Manchester by the Sea

Moonlight

Predictions Correct: 9/9

Snubs and Surprises: Woah. I seriously didn't expect to get this 100%. Best Picture is super hard to predict since it's between 5 and 10 movies, so even to predict 9 nominations was quite a risk. The biggest snub is obviously Scorcese's Silence, though it's not particularly surprising that it didn't get in.

Best Director

Damien Chazelle- La La Land

Mel Gibson- Hacksaw Ridge

Barry Jenkins- Moonlight

Kenneth Lonergan- Manchester by the Sea

Denis Villeneuve- Arrival

Predictions Correct: 4/5

Snubs and Surprises: So Mel Gibson is officially back, huh? I knew he was a contender, but honestly I guess I just underestimated him. I figured Scorcese or Tom Ford (Nocturnal Animals) had a better shot. Still bummed about Scorcese. He would've been so deserving.

Best Original Screenplay
20th Century Women

Hell or High Water

La La Land

The Lobster

Manchester by the Sea

Predictions Correct: 4/5

Snubs and Surprises: I put 20th Century Women as a possible spoiler, but I didn't expect it to actually get in. Very well-deserved. Too bad about Captain Fantastic but I wasn't 100% convinced about it anyways. Not too surprising here.

Best Adapted Screenplay
Arrival

Fences

Hidden Figures

Lion

Moonlight

Predictions Correct: 4/5

Snubs and Surprises: No real surprises. I predicted Nocturnal Animals but I ranked it #5 on likelihood and Hidden Figures was my spoiler pick. 

Total Predictions Correct: 38/44 nominations.

Other Nominations I didn't predict

Cinematography:

Arrival- Bradford Young

La La Land- Linus Sandgren

Lion- Greig Fraser

Moonlight- James Laxton

Silence- Rodrigo Prieto

Best documentary feature:

13th- Ava DuVernay, Spencer Averick and Howard Barish

Fire at Sea- Gianfranco Rosi and Donatella Palermo

I Am Not Your Negro- Raoul Peck, Remi Grellety and Hebert Peck

Life, Animated- Roger Ross Williams and Julie Goldman

O.J.: Made in America- Ezra Edelman and Caroline Waterlow

Best documentary short subject:

“4.1 Miles,” Daphne Matziaraki

“Extremis,” Dan Krauss

“Joe’s Violin,” Kahane Cooperman and Raphaela Neihausen

“Watani: My Homeland,” Marcel Mettelsiefen and Stephen Ellis

“The White Helmets,” Orlando von Einsiedel and Joanna Natasegara

Best live action short film:

“Ennemis Interieurs,” Selim Azzazi

“La Femme et le TGV,” Timo von Gunten and Giacun Caduff

“Silent Nights,” Aske Bang and Kim Magnusson

“Sing,” Kristof Deak and Anna Udvardy

“Timecode,” Juanjo Gimenez

Best foreign language film:

“A Man Called Ove,” Sweden

“Land of Mine,” Denmark

“Tanna,” Australia

“The Salesman,” Iran

“Toni Erdmann,” Germany

Film editing:

Arrival- Joe Walker

Hacksaw Ridge- John Gilbert

Hell or High Water- Jake Roberts

La La Land- Tom Cross

Moonlight- Nat Sanders and Joi McMillon

Sound editing:

Arrival- Sylvain Bellemare

Deepwater Horizon- Wylie Stateman and Renee Tondelli

Hacksaw Ridge- Robert Mackenzie and Andy Wright

La La Land- Ai-Ling Lee and Mildred Iatrou Morgan

Sully- Alan Robert Murray and Bub Asman

Sound mixing:

Arrival- Bernard Gariepy Strobl and Claude La Haye

Hacksaw Ridge- Kevin O’Connell, Andy Wright, Robert Mackenzie and Peter Grace

La La Land- Andy Nelson, Ai-Ling Lee and Steve A. Morrow

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story- David Parker, Christopher Scarabosio and Stuart Wilson

13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi- Greg P. Russell, Gary Summers, Jeffrey J. Haboush and Mac Ruth

Production design:

Arrival- Patrice Vermette, Paul Hotte

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them- Stuart Craig, Anna Pinnock

Hail, Caesar!- Jess Gonchor, Nancy Haigh

La La Land- David Wasco, Sandy Reynolds-Wasco

Passengers- Guy Hendrix Dyas, Gene Serdena

Original score:

Jackie-Mica Levi

La La Land- Justin Hurwitz

Lion- Dustin O’Halloran and Hauschka

Moonlight- Nicholas Britell

Passengers- Thomas Newman

Original song:

“Audition (The Fools Who Dream),” La La Land — Music by Justin Hurwitz; Lyric by Benj Pasek and Justin Paul

“Can’t Stop the Feeling,” Trolls — Music and Lyric by Justin Timberlake, Max Martin and Karl Johan Schuster

“City of Stars,” La La Land — Music by Justin Hurwitz; Lyric by Benj Pasek and Justin Paul

“The Empty Chair,” Jim: The James Foley Story — Music and Lyric by J. Ralph and Sting

“How Far I’ll Go,” Moana — Music and Lyric by Lin-Manuel Miranda

Makeup and hair:

A Man Called Ove- Eva von Bahr and Love Larson

Star Trek Beyond- Joel Harlow and Richard Alonzo

Suicide Squad- Alessandro Bertolazzi, Giorgio Gregorini and Christopher Nelson

Costume design:

Allied- Joanna Johnston

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them- Colleen Atwood

Florence Foster Jenkins- Consolata Boyle

Jackie-Madeline Fontaine

La La Land- Mary Zophres

Visual effects:

Deepwater Horizon,” Craig Hammack, Jason Snell, Jason Billington and Burt Dalton

Doctor Strange- Stephane Ceretti, Richard Bluff, Vincent Cirelli and Paul Corbould

The Jungle Book- Robert Legato, Adam Valdez, Andrew R. Jones and Dan Lemmon

Kubo and the Two Strings- Steve Emerson, Oliver Jones, Brian McLean and Brad Schiff

Rogue One: A Star Wars Story- John Knoll, Mohen Leo, Hal Hickel and Neil Corbould

Films with Multiple Nominations:

14 nominations- La La Land

8 nominations- Arrival, Moonlight

6 nominations- Hacksaw Ridge, Lion, Manchester by the Sea

4 nominations- Fences, Hell or High Water

3 nominations- Hidden Figures, Jackie

2 nominations- Deepwater Horizon, Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them, Florence Foster Jenkins, Kubo and the Two Strings, A Man Called Ove, Moana, Passengers, Rogue One: A Star Wars Story