Here are my final predictions for the Academy Awards in every
category. These are ranked in terms of likelihood of winning, not my personal
rankings. For the top 8, I've also included my favorite of what was nominated
and what I actually think deserves to win regardless of if they were nominated
or not.
Best Picture
1. 1917
2. Parasite
3. Once upon a Time in Hollywood
4. The Irishman
5. Little Women
6. Joker
7. Jojo Rabbit
8. Marriage Story
9. Ford v. Ferrari
My Pick of the Nominees: Parasite
My Actual Pick: Parasite
1917 is the clear frontrunner winning at the Golden Globes,
BAFTAs, and Producers Guild. That said, Parasite is starting to build up some
momentum with its SAG win and Once Upon a Time in Hollywood shouldn't be
counted out quite yet.
Edit: Changing my pick to Parasite at the last minute.
Edit: Changing my pick to Parasite at the last minute.
1. Sam Mendes, 1917
2. Bong Joon-ho, Parasite
3. Quentin Tarantino, Once upon a Time in Hollywood
4. Martin Scorsese, The Irishman
5. Todd Phillips, Joker
My Pick of the Nominees: Bong Joon-ho, Parasite
my Actual Pick: Bong
Joon-ho, Parasite
Sam
Mendes is sweeping everywhere and his usage of long takes for his film has
clearly impressed many award bodies. Maybe Bong Joon-ho could get in but I'd
say Mendes is a pretty safe bet.
Best Actor
1. Joaquin Phoenix, Joker
2. Adam Driver, Marriage Story
3. Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
4. Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes
5. Antonio Banderas, Pain & Glory
My Pick of the Nominees: Adam Driver, Marriage Story
My Actual Pick: Adam
Driver, Marriage Story or Adam Sandler, Uncut Gems
Yeah, the acting awards are really predictable this year.
It's going to Joaquin Phoenix and whether you liked Joker or not, I'm sure
he'll give an entertaining speech.
1. Renee Zellweger, Judy
2. Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story
3. Saoirse Ronan, Little Women
4. Charlize Theron, Bombshell
5. Cynthia Erivo, Harriet
My Pick of the nominees: Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story
My Actual Pick: Scarlett
Johansson, Marriage Story or Awkwafina, The Farewell
Also predictable. Maybe Scarlett or Saoirse could pull some
kind of upset but it's looking very good for Renee.
Best Supporting Actor
1. Brad Pitt, Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
2. Joe Pesci, The Irishman
3. Al Pacino, The Irishman
4. Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
5. Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes
My
Pick of the Nominees: Brad Pitt,
My
Actual Pick: Willem Dafoe, The Lighthouse
Obviously
if there was justice in the world, Willem Dafoe would be the winner, but Brad
Pitt was pretty great so this is fine.
Best
Supporting Actress
1.
Laura Dern, Marriage Story
2. Scarlett
Johansson, Jojo Rabbit
3.
Margot Robbie, Bombshell
4.
Florence Pugh, Little Women
5.
Kathy Bates, Richard Jewell
My
Pick of the Nominees: Laura Dern, Marriage Story
My
Actual Pick: Zhao Shuzhen, The Farewell
Those
cowards at the Academy didn't nominate Zhao Shuzhen, but Laura Dern is amazing
so I'll be happy for her.
Best
Original Screenplay
1.
Parasite
2.
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
3.
Marriage Story
4.
Knives Out
5.
1917
My
Pick of the Nominees: Marriage Story
My
Actual Pick: Marriage Story
Parasite
is my favorite film of the year but Marriage Story is my favorite screenplay.
But the race seems to be between Parasite and Once Upon a Time in Hollywood and
it could go either way.
Best
Adapted Screenplay
1.
Little Women
2.
Jojo Rabbit
3.
The Irishman
4.
Joker
5.
The Two Popes
My
Pick of the Nominees: The Irishman
My
Actual Pick: The Irishman
It's
between Little Women and Jojo Rabbit. Taika Waititi won big at the Writer's
Guild Awards for Jojo Rabbit but the criticism over Greta Gerwig's director
snub might give her an edge for the screenwriting Oscar.
Best Animated Film: Klaus (Alt: Toy
Story 4)
Best International Film: Parasite
(Alt: Pain & Glory)
Best
Original Song: "(I'm Gonna) Love Me Again" from Rocketman
(Alt: "Into the Unknown" from Frozen II)
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Bombshell (Alt:
1917)
Best Visual Effects: The Irishman (Alt: 1917)
Best Documentary: For Sama (Alt: American Factory)
Best Costume Design: Little Women (Alt: Jojo Rabbit)
Best Original Score: Joker – Hildur
Guðnadóttir (Alt: 1917)
Best Sound Editing: 1917 (Alt: Ford v Ferrari)
Best sound Mixing: 1917 (Alt: Ford v
Ferrari)
Best Editing: Ford v Ferrari (Alt: Parasite)
Best Production Design: Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (Alt: Parasite)
Best Cinematography: 1917 (Alt: The Lighthouse)
Best Animated Short: Hair Love (Alt: Kitbull)
Best Documentary Short: Learning to
Skateboard in a Warzone (Alt: St. Louis Superman)
Best Live Action Short: Brotherhood (Alt: The Neighbors' Window)